MATCHUP; SPREAD; MONEYLINE; OVER/UNDER
Jacksonville at Kansas City; KC -7; JAX +270, KC -330; +/- 44
Detroit at Minnesota; MIN -6; DET +210, MIN -250; +/- 41
Philadelphia at NYG; NYG -2.5; PHI +120, NYG -140; +/- 43.5
Dallas at Cleveland; DAL -7; DAL -300, CLE +250; +/- 48.5
NYJ at Miami; MIA -3.5; NYJ +160, MIA -180; +/- 44.5
Pittsburgh at Baltimore; BAL -2.5; OFF; +/- 43
New Orleans at San Francisco; NO -4; NO -190, SF +170; +/- 52
Carolina at Los Angeles; CAR -3; CAR -165, LA +145; +/- 45
Indianapolis at Green Bay; GB -7; IND +270, GB -330; +/- 54
Tennessee at San Diego; SD -5; TEN +180, SD -210; +/- 47.5
Denver at Oakland; OAK -1; DEN EVEN, OAK -120; +/- 44
Buffalo at Seattle; SEA -7; BUF +245, SEA -290; +/- 44
Lines courtesy William Hill, updated Friday, Nov. 4
Philadelphia/NYG — over
The Eagles have scored at least 20 points in each week of the season so far. The Giants are coming off a bye, complicating matters. But Odell Beckham Jr. is reportedly at full health going into the divisional tilt, and that’s reason to believe New York will be able to put a couple touchdowns on the board despite having one of the worst rushing attacks in the NFL.
The Cowboys have an offensive line that is the envy of the rest of the league. Cleveland has pole position for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2017 draft and will be starting Cody Kessler at quarterback to protect it. Sure, the Patriots traded star linebacker Jamie Collins to purgatory — excuse me, I mean Cleveland — last week, but it’s rare for players to get familiar with a new team that quickly. The rookie tandem of Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott should roll in this one as the Browns struggle to score points.
The Jets are on a two-game win streak, but that includes a three-point win over Cleveland last week, so I’m not reading too much into that fact. The Dolphins are well-rested and showed a first-rate ability to run the ball in their two matches before their Week 8 bye. The Jets have the best defense against the run in the NFL, but their offense is too turnover-prone to believe in. I’ll go with the fresh team with a homefield advantage over Ryan Fitzpatrick most weeks.
I predicted the Titans would make a mini-leap before the season, and they haven’t proven me entirely wrong (unlike the Jaguars). Philip Rivers and the Chargers traditionally get worse as the season goes on. San Diego has an almost Detroit Lions-esque ability of finding ways to lose games, making them ripe for my upset of the week.
Buffalo/Seattle — under
The Seahawks defense is always impressive at home and in primetime, and Bills quarterback Tyrod Taylor holds the ball far too much to have much success against a front seven as stout as this group. The Seattle offense is due for improvement and I expect it will — just not enough to tip this game total over 44 points.
Week 5: 3-2