MATCHUP SPREAD MONEYLINE OVER/UNDER
Houston at Tennessee TEN -3 HOU +150, TEN -170 +/- 40
Buffalo at NYJ BUF -3.5 BUF -170, NYJ +150 +/- 42.5
Baltimore at Cincinnati CIN -1 BAL -105, CIN +115 +/- 41.5
Jacksonville at Indianapolis IND -4.5 JAX +190, IND -220 +/- 47
Dallas at Philadelphia PHI -4.5 DAL +180, PHI -210 +/- 43.5
Chicago at Minnesota MIN -6 CHI +220, MIN -260 +/- 42.5
Carolina at Tampa Bay TB -4.5 CAR +190, TB -220 +/- 46.5
Cleveland at Pittsburgh PIT -6 CLE +210, PIT -250 +/- 43
New England at Miami NE -9.5 NE -260, MIA +350 +/- 44.5
NYG at Washington WAS -7.5 NYG +270, WAS -330 +/- 45
New Orleans at Atlanta ATL -7 NO +250, ATL -300 +/- 56
Arizona at Los Angeles ARI -6 ARI -260, LA +220 +/- 41
Seattle at San Francisco SEA -9.5 SEA -475, SF +380 +/- 43
Oakland at Denver DEN -1 OAK EVEN, DEN -120 +/- 41
Green Bay at Detroit GB -3.5 GB -185, DET +165 +/- 49.5
Lines courtesy William Hill, updated Friday, Dec. 30
Call me a sucker for Savage, or a Cassel critic, but I believe the Texans have the advantage in this battle of backup quarterbacks. Bill O’Brien’s team has clinched a spot in the playoffs and is resting key starters Lamar Miller and Jadeveon Clowney. The fact remains Houston has the better defense and most teams look great when they play against Matt Cassel. Also, this is the same Titans defense that was shredded by Blake Bortles last week. That should instill faith in Tom Savage’s ability to bounce back in his second start of the season.
Washington/NYG — over
Three of the Giants’ best defensive players — Janoris Jenkins, Damon Harrison and Jason Pierre-Paul — are unlikely to play. Their replacements will be facing a Washington team that needs a win to keep its playoff hopes alive. And when Kirk Cousins’ group wins, it does so by putting a lot of points on the board. They also have a defense that is susceptible to big plays to sure-handed receivers. So if Odell Beckham Jr. plays, you can expect him to make an impact — whether he’s lining up across nemesis Josh Norman or not.
The Eagles played well last week in a divisional win over the Giants, but the Cowboys are simply the best team in the league, and if anyone offers you points when they’re playing an inferior opponent, take them. It’s true Dallas could bench its starters, but Tony Romo and Darren McFadden can make enough plays to keep this game close, if not win it.
Chicago/Minnesota — under
The formula for any under play should be: Bad offenses playing decent-to-good defenses in Minnesota during December. The Vikings’ best playmaker this season, Stefon Diggs, has been ruled out, and the Bears are still throwing Matt Barkley out there. A guy with eight TDs and 12 INTs going against a top-10 defense and an even better secondary, a low point total is a fair expectation.
Green Bay -3.5
The fact is these teams have been trending in opposite directions for the last four weeks. The Packers are poised to win the division after being left for dead, and the Lions are set to do what they always do: Get embarrassed by Green Bay. The Packers will beat the Lions, by how much is the only uncertainty in my mind. If Detroit’s best cornerback Darius Slay is ruled out, it’ll be a field day for Aaron Rodgers.
Week 16: 2-3