Despite playing their worst game of the season last week, the 49ers are favored to win today. (Nuccio DiNuzzo/Chicago Tribune/TNS)

Week 14 lines/picks: Jets are so bad, 49ers are favored

MATCHUP SPREAD MONEYLINE OVER/UNDER

Denver at Tennessee TEN -1 DEN EVEN, TEN -120 +/- 43.5

San Diego at Carolina CAR -1 SD EVEN, CAR -120 +/- 49

Houston at Indianapolis IND -6.5 HOU +240, IND -280 +/- 46.5

Cincinnati at Cleveland CIN -5.5 CIN -245, CLE +205 +/- 41

Pittsburgh at Buffalo PIT -3 PIT -150, BUF +130 +/- 47

Arizona at Miami ARI -2 ARI -130, MIA +110 +/- 43.5

Chicago at Detroit DET -7.5 CHI +270, DET -330 +/- 43.5

Minnesota at Jacksonville MIN -3.5 MIN -175, JAX +155 +/- 39.5

New Orleans at Tampa Bay TB -3 NO +120, TB -140 +/- 51.5

Washington at Philadelphia WAS -2 WAS -130, PHI +110 +/- 46.5

NYJ at San Francisco SF -3 NYJ +125, SF -145 +/- 44

Seattle at Green Bay SEA -3 SEA -150, GB +130 +/- 45

Atlanta at Los Angeles ATL -6.5 ATL -270, LA +230 +/- 45

Dallas at NYG DAL -3.5 DAL -190, NYG +170 +/- 47.5

MNF

Baltimore at New England NE -7 BAL +250, NE -300 +/- 45.5

Lines courtesy William Hill, updated Friday, Dec. 9

Palmer’s picks

Carolina -1

I like to bet against San Diego. It’s kind of my thing. I do it with more frequency and confidence as the season grows older. The Panthers were embarrassed last week on the road in Seattle after head coach Ron Rivera benched Cam Newton for an embarrassing dress-code violation. With that silliness out of the way and Luke Kuechly back on defense, I have confidence Carolina will take care of business at home.

Houston/Indianapolis — over

This one is tough because the Colts have a good offense and a shaky defense, while the Texans have the opposite. I think Indy’s D is bad enough that Lamar Miller will find the end zone a couple times and a resurgent Andrew Luck will keep this game close enough to exceed the relatively low over/under total.

Cleveland ML

I’m doing it. I don’t feel good about it. I actually feel quite uneasy about it. But I genuinely believe this will be the week the Browns end their 15-game losing streak that began last year. Robert Griffin III is back and that adds enough of an unknown element for me to believe they’ll have a serious chance to beat a Bengals team that has a quarterback (Andy Dalton), who typically struggles against Cleveland and will be without his best weapon (AJ Green). Give me those favorable odds. It’s the Browns’ time to shine! (I think I’m going to be sick.)

Green Bay +3

Give me the home team and the points in a snow game, please. (You can also apply this principle to the Pittsburgh/Buffalo game, if you’d like.) The Seahawks will be without Earl Thomas, who broke a bone in his leg last week, and Aaron Rodgers is in the midst of saving Mike McCarthy’s job by leading the Packers on their annual push for the playoffs. The taped-together defense has held in recent weeks and the Hawks are a different team on the road — one that’s struggled in every game it’s played away from the Northwest.

Dallas/NYG — under

The Giants have several playmakers on the defensive end — even with a couple of them down with an assortment of injuries — and the Cowboys have a highly underrated front seven that should be in Eli Manning’s face all day. Add in the fact it’s a divisional rivalry game and I’ll happily go with the under in the Sunday Night Football game.

Week 13: 3-2

Overall: 37-27-1

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