MATCHUP SPREAD MONEYLINE OVER/UNDER
Denver at Jacksonville DEN -3.5 DEN -185, JAX +165 +/- 40
Kansas City at Atlanta ATL -5 KC +200, ATL -240 +/- 49.5
Houston at Green Bay GB -6.5 HOU +230, GB -270 +/- 45
Philadelphia at Cincinnati CIN -1 PHI -105, CIN -115 +/- 42
Detroit at New Orleans NO -6 DET +225, NO -265 +/- 53.5
San Francisco at Chicago SF -1 SF -115, CHI -105 +/- 43.5
Los Angeles at New England NE -13 LA +550, NE -800 +/- 44
Miami at Baltimore BAL -3 MIA +155, BAL -175 +/- 41
Buffalo at Oakland OAK -3 BUF +140, OAK -160 +/- 49
Tampa Bay at San Diego SD -3.5 TB +165, SD -185 +/- 47.5
Washington at Arizona ARI -2 WAS +110, ARI -130 +/- 49
NYG at Pittsburgh PIT -6 NYG +220, PIT -260 +/- 49.5
Carolina at Seattle SEA -7 CAR +280, SEA -340 +/- 44.5
Indianapolis at NYJ IND -2 IND -125, NYJ +105 +/- 49
Lines courtesy William Hill, updated Friday, Dec. 2
Kansas City +5
The Chiefs and Falcons are both playoff teams but they have differing styles. Atlanta scores a lot of points with a shaky-at-best defense and Kansas City plays a ball control game and has an impressive defense. It was Justin Houston and the Chiefs’ D-line that delivered a win last week against the Broncos and if they can get pressure on Matt Ryan again, they should be able to keep this game close. Atlanta is hardly unbeatable at home and it’ll be up to the Kansas City offensive line to play strong up front, allowing Spencer Ware to find running lanes, which makes the game seem shorter and gives the Falcons’ impressive array of playmakers less time to bust the contest open.
New England -13
In a midweek conference call, Los Angeles head coach Jeff Fisher cited Danny Woodhead as one of the Patriots’ weapons the Rams will have to look out for this week. Woodhead is currently on the injured-reserve list for the San Diego Chargers. Bill Belichick’s staff should be able to find an answer for former Cal QB Jared Goff, who threw for three touchdowns against a bad Saints secondary last week. If New England can contain Goff, Tom Brady — another Bay Area-bred signal caller — should be able to carve up a Los Angeles defense that is more equipped to stop the run than the pass. The Pats weren’t overly impressive last week against the Jets, but rivalry games have a tendency of making the score closer.
Tampa Bay ML
This week’s game will be the first following a report that the Chargers plan to move to Los Angeles in 2017. That doesn’t bode well for a homefield advantage. The Buccaneers have also been a pleasant surprise for their fans this season as quarterback Jameis Winston and wide receiver Mike Evans have emerged as an elite combo. I expect this to be an exciting, close game, and with Philip Rivers at the helm in December, I’ll take whoever he’s playing.
Miami/Baltimore — under
The Ravens have a great defense and struggle to score points. The Dolphins are probably the better team, but haven’t been able to consistently score points against good run stoppers — scoring a combined 24 points against the Rams and Seahawks this season. Force Ryan Tannehill to throw the ball more often with a hobbled DeVante Parker and this game could be on the lower end in terms of point total.
NYG/Pittsburgh — over
The Giants haven’t played a good offense since the Eagles four weeks ago, (when Philadelphia was still moving the ball). The Steelers need to win this game and haven’t faced a competent offense since they surrendered 35 points to the Cowboys three games ago. I expect this one to be a relative shootout between two quarterbacks who were drafted picks apart. Ben Roethlisberger has two of the best weapons in the league, Eli Manning has Odell Beckham Jr., and neither team is particularly good at defense.
Week 12: 2-3