Bettors should keep the Lions on their radar since Detroit has the easiest schedule left. (Kirthmon F. Dozier/Detroit Free Press/TNS)

Palmer’s Picks: Blaine Gabbert vs. Tom Savage: Can you feel the excitement?

Last week, I wrote that bettors should lean heavily on the under because of all the bad quarterbacks. What a no brainer! Then, naturally, the over won more than it lost — and Tom Brady and the Patriots came within a touchdown of single-handedly putting their game against the Denver Broncos over the point total. This week, I won’t make such a stupid blanket statement, but I will continue to bet against Tom Savage. That is one thing I will never give up on. If only, by some magical means, there was an available quarterback who played like their mobile-but-injured Deshaun Watson. Somebody with postseason experience and has a history of moving the ball without turning it over. Of course, that free agent quarterback doesn’t exist.

Lions -3

The Detroit offense has scored 30 or more points in its last two games — one of which was at Lambeau Field, where the Lions traditionally don’t play well. Starting left tackle Taylor Decker is expected to return this week against the Bears. Chicago, meanwhile, couldn’t contain Packers backup quarterback Brett Hundley last week and can’t move the ball on offense thanks to an overly conservative style. Good teams have beaten John Fox’s squad by at least a touchdown. This will be a good test if the Lions are actually good or not.

Cardinals/Texans — under 40.5

The main event: Blaine Gabbert vs. Tom Savage. The ol’ These Teams Have No Excuse For Not Signing Colin Kaepernick Bowl. Niners fans know how ineffective Gabbert is at moving the ball. Savage hasn’t taken a snap in which he’s looked like a professional quarterback all season. This is the game that the under play was invented.

Washington/Saints — over 51

New Orleans has been incredible this year. Its offense ranks in the top three in rushing yards per game, total yards per game and points per game. The Saints have won seven straight weeks. They’re coming off of a 47-10 beatdown of the Bills in Buffalo. There’s no reason to believe they can’t continue to put tons of points on the board in their return to the Big Easy. The scary part is Washington: Can Kirk Cousins’ unit create enough points to put this over? I’m hopeful that the 30 points his team scored against Minnesota — another top-flight defense — is indicative of future success.

Bills ML

Philip Rivers passed the concussion protocol and will be ready for this contest. His Chargers will be playing a home game that doesn’t carry any inherent advantage as fans in LA don’t care about the Bolts. Buffalo switched its quarterback midweek and — while I don’t agree with the decision — it should jar this team awake in a way that allows them to narrowly beat the Chargers. If it doesn’t, blame the Bills’ brass for turning its back on a steady QB — and me for betting Nathan Peterman could win his first game ever on the road.

Bengals +2.5

A true Pooper Bowl will be played in Denver today. Andy Dalton vs. Brock Osweiler is a match of whom you want to bet against more. Until the Broncos defense proves it’s ready to bail out its inept offense week-after-week, I’ll continue to take any points Osweiler’s team is giving.

Week 10: 2-3

2017: 20-30

MATCHUP SPREAD MONEYLINE OVER/UNDER

Detroit at Chicago DET -3 DET -150, CHI +130 +/- 41

Kansas City at NYG KC -10.5 KC -500, NYG +400 +/- 45

Tampa Bay at Miami MIA -1 TB -105, MIA -115 +/- 40.5

Baltimore at Green Bay BAL -2 BAL -130, GB +110 +/- 38

LA Rams at Minnesota MIN -2.5 LAR +120, MIN -140 +/- 46

Arizona at Houston PICK ARI -110, HOU -110 +/- 40.5

Jacksonville at Cleveland JAX -7.5 JAX -360, CLE +300 +/- 37.5

Washington at New Orleans NO -8 WAS +320, NO -400 +/- 51

Buffalo at LA Chargers LAC -4 BUF +170, LAC -190 +/- 44

Cincinnati at Denver DEN -2.5 CIN +125, DEN -145 +/- 39.5

NE vs. Oakland (Mexico City) NE -7 NO -300, OAK +250 +/- 53.5

Philadelphia at Dallas PHI -3.5 PHI -190, DAL +170 +/- 48.5

MNF

Atlanta at Seattle SEA -3 ATL +135, SEA -155 +/- 45

Lines courtesy William Hill; updated Friday, Nov. 17

On bye week: Carolina, Indianapolis, NYJ, San Francisco

If you find our journalism valuable and relevant, please consider joining our Examiner membership program.
Find out more at www.sfexaminer.com/join/

Just Posted

Lakeshore Elementary School was closed in March shortly before SFUSD closed all schools due to coronavirus concerns. The district is now working to prepare all elementary schools to reopen by mid-January.<ins> (Kevin N. Hume/S.F. Examiner)</ins>
School district preparing buildings for hybrid learning

SFUSD plans to use 72 elementary schools and 12 early education sites for first phase of reopening

There have been at least 142 confirmed cases of COVID-19 among workers at San Francisco International Airport. <ins>(Kevin N. Hume/S.F. Examiner)</ins>
Supes back SFO worker healthcare legislation despite airline, business opposition

Costs of ‘Health Airport Ordinance’ in dispute, with estimates ranging from $8.4 M to $163 M annually

Thankfully, playgrounds that were closed due to the pandemic during the summer have reopened.<ins> (Kevin N. Hume/S.F. Examiner)</ins>
The perils of parenting, COVID-style

At long last, it’s OK to take your little one out to play

Ten candidates are running for a seat on the Board of Trustees of the San Francisco Community College District.. (Courtesy photos)
Strong leadership needed as City College faces multiple crises

Ten candidates vying for four seats on CCSF board

City officials closed San Francisco County Jail No. 4 on the top floor of the Hall of Justice at 850 Bryant St. in September, reducing the number of beds in the jail system by about 400. 
Kevin N. Hume/
S.F. Examiner
SF jail closure prompts doctor to call for release of more inmates

Reduced space increases risk of COVID-19 spreading among those in custody

Most Read