The Mission district could lose 8,000 Latino residents in the next decade, a new report from the budget analyst. (Michael Ares/Special to the S.F. Examiner)

The Mission district could lose 8,000 Latino residents in the next decade, a new report from the budget analyst. (Michael Ares/Special to the S.F. Examiner)

Report: Mission District to lose 8,000 Latino residents in next decade

San Francisco’s Mission District will see a massive drop in the number of Latino residents while higher income earners will increase during the next decade, according to a budget analyst report released Tuesday.

Supervisor David Campos announced the results of the report –its conclusion was based on historical trends– during Tuesday’s Board of Supervisors meeting. He had requested the information following an unflattering report issued by city economist Ted Egan, of the City Controller’s Office, about impacts of the proposed Mission housing moratorium, which is before voters on Nov. 3.

“What this report found is actually very alarming,” Campos said. “It essentially means, based on the report, that we would lose this neighborhood as we currently know it.”

The report can be found here.

According to the report, “If current trends continue and the relative changes seen between 2000 and the 2009-2013 period are annualized going forward … the Mission District’s Hispanic/Latino population will decline from 48 percent of the total Mission District population to 42 percent by 2017 and to 31 percent [10,380] by 2025.”

Campos said that “that is a significant reduction from the years when this neighborhood was majority Latino.”

Looking at historic trends, the report projected that “a significant decline” would occur in “households earning between $35,000 and $99,999 and a significant increase is projected for households earning more than $150,000.”

Campos, who supports the Mission moratorium, said the report also shows those preaching supply and demand housing are not realistic.

The report said that “average prices would still increase over the 30 years unless significantly more than 15,300 housing units per year are added, or at least 13,289 more per year than the actual 2,011 added between 1980 and 2010 .”

Having reviewed the numbers, Campos said, “We would have to build another San Francisco on top of this city today. In the Mission we would have to build another Mission on top of the Mission for that argument to actually have the impact of reducing housing costs.”Board of SupervisorsCity HallDavid CamposgentrificationLatinosMission districtmoratoriumPoliticsSan Francisco

Just Posted

Cabernet sauvignon grapes sat in a container after being crushed at Smith-Madrone Winery in St. Helena. (Courtesy Smith-Madrone Winery)
San Francisco’s ‘Champagne problems’ — Wine industry suffers supply chain woes

‘Everywhere you turn, things that were easy are no longer easy’

Glasses behind the bar at LUNA in the Mission District on Friday, Oct. 15, 2021. Glassware is just one of the many things restaurants have had trouble keeping in stock as supply chain problems ripple outward. (Kevin N. Hume/The Examiner)
SF restaurants face product shortages and skyrocketing costs

‘The supply chain crisis has impacted us in almost every way imaginable’

A Giants fans hangs his head in disbelief after the Dodgers won the NLDS in a controversial finish to a tight Game 5. (Chris Victorio/Special to The Examiner)
Giants dream season ends at the hands of the Dodgers, 2-1

A masterful game comes down to the bottom of the ninth, and San Francisco came up short

<strong>Workers with Urban Alchemy and the Downtown Streets Team clean at Seventh and Market streets on Oct. 12. <ins>(Kevin N. Hume/The Examiner)</ins> </strong>
<ins></ins>
Why is it so hard to keep San Francisco’s streets clean?

Some blame bureaucracy, others say it’s the residents’ fault

Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi — seen in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday — touted Congressional Democrats’ infrastructure bill in San Francisco on Thursday. (Stefani Reynolds/The New York Times)
Pelosi touts infrastructure bill as it nears finish line

Climate change, social safety net among major priorities of Democrats’ 10-year funding measure

Most Read