One surprise among tonight’s election results: Rep. Allen Boyd, D-Fla., is ahead by a hair in his primary, clinging to a 2,000-vote lead about two-thirds of the way through the count.

I thought Boyd would be a casualty in November after his vote for health care reform, which was paired with a student loan bill that will eliminate some 600 jobs in his district. But Judgement Day may be here for him a bit sooner than expected.

It looks like he will either fall tonight or else narrowly survive against a lesser-known candidate whom he outspent ten-to-one. Neither is good for his long-term prospects.

Beltway Confidentialelection 2010FLUS