Republicans’ early vote lead still holding in Florida

George Mason Professor Michael McDonald has been tracking the early vote in several states. The most surprising number so far has come out of Florida, where early voting could well account for more than half of the total vote.

For several days, McDonald only had Florida numbers as of Oct. 21. At that point, registered Republicans had cast a staggering 52.8% of the early vote. One week later, the numbers have changed only slightly:

Party 2010 Mode Percent
Dem 34.5% In-Person 39.0%
Rep 51.8% Mail 61.0%
Ind 13.7

The partisan numbers are expected to narrow as more in-person ballots are cast, so don’t get too excited right away. But for perspective, here are the breakdowns from 2008 and 2004:

Party 2008 2004
Dem 45.6% 40.7%
Rep 37.3% 43.5%
No/Other 17.1% 15.8%

Early voting runs for three (and in some parts of the state four) more days. With 1.3 million early votes cast so far — more than a quarter of the total early-plus-Election Day vote in the 2006 midterm — you have to like Rick Scott’s chances in the governor’s race.

If you find our journalism valuable and relevant, please consider joining our Examiner membership program.
Find out more at www.sfexaminer.com/join/

Just Posted

Ronen says $100M service expansion is ‘going to fix’ SF’s mental health crisis

Compromise mental health plan has backing of mayor, full Board of Supervisors

Civil liberties lawyer files to take on Pelosi

A San Francisco-based civil liberties lawyer, progressive advocate, DJ and poet is… Continue reading

Supes sound off against bill increasing housing density near transit hubs

Senator Wiener calls resolution opposing SB 50 ‘little more than symbolic political theater’

Eun Sun Kim named San Francisco Opera music director

Korean conductor’s skyrocketing career includes engagements across the world

Most Read