AK-SEN: Democratic Sitka Mayor Scott McAdams has run an entertaining ad campaign that has portrayed him as both likable and not-too-serious. He might still finish ahead of the incumbent, a write-in candidate. Whether Republican nominee Joe Miller wins or not, the math suggests that he will probably finish at least in second place.
CO-GOV: Oh, Dan Maes, R. His failure to win ten percent of the vote will make the GOP a “minor party” in Colorado, causing big headaches for the 2012 cycle.
FL-SEN: Obviously, this is the big three-way race. But what if Kendrick Meek, D, manages to come out ahead of formerly Republican Gov. Charlie Crist? Unless you’ve placed a bet on Marco Rubio getting 50 percent, this won’t be one of the big races to watch tonight.
ME-GOV: Libby Mitchell, D, is well on her way to achieving this distinction. Her negatives are so high that Independent Eliot Cutler probably has a better chance of beating Paul LePage at this point.