Pa. Democrats: Coming back, or on the verge of collapse? (Updated)

Yesterday afternoon, the DSCC released a poll showing Rep. Joe Sestak, D, leading Pat Toomey, R, in Pennsylvania’s Senate race. Naturally, I considered the source, but you have to wonder when you see a poll like that: Has something happened to change the race? Could it be that the next independent polls will show a shift — from the 5-9 point lead Toomey has held for months, to perhaps a much tighter race?

Well, the answer today is “no.” In fact, the entire state of Pennsylvania is turning into a black hole for Democrats. Among the polls released today are these :

Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey (Rasmussen Reports)
Toomey 49, Sestak 39  Toomey +10

Pennsylvania 7th District – Meehan vs. Lentz (Franklin & Marshall)
Meehan 34, Lentz 31  Meehan +3

Pennsylvania 10th District – Marino vs. Carney (Times Leader/Critical Insight)
Marino 44, Carney 38  Marino +6

Pennsylvania 11th District – Barletta vs. Kanjorski (Times Leader/Critical Insights)
Barletta 43, Kanjorski 41 Barletta +2

That’s Sestak getting trounced, two House incumbents trailing, and Democrats losing in Sestak’s open seat. And this comes after another Pa. Democrat, Rep. Kathy Dahlkemper of PA-3, was cut loose by the party (she will likely lose by doubt digits).

There are still three other races to watch: In PA-8, Mike Fitzpatrick is competitive and (update) in a survey released today, leads Rep. Pat Murphy by five points and has more than 50 percent of the vote. R. In PA-12, the Critz vs. Burns rematch looks like a real race.

(Keith Rothfus has not posted any impressive numbers yet in PA-4 against Rep. Jason Altmire, D, but in this environment, and perhaps with a bit of outside help, who knows? The district was drawn for a Republican back in 2001.)

The bottom line: There’s no independent indications of the turnaround that the DSCC is selling — not yet, anyway. You have to wonder what they were thinking when they spent $4 million on negative ads against Toomey. If other Republicans like Sharron Angle, Mark Kirk and Ken Buck win this year, they should thank Toomey for absorbing so much of the Democrats’ budget.

Beltway Confidentialelection 2010Pa.US

If you find our journalism valuable and relevant, please consider joining our Examiner membership program.
Find out more at www.sfexaminer.com/join/

Just Posted

A construction worker watches a load for a crane operator at the site of the future Chinatown Muni station for the Central Subway on Tuesday, March 3, 2021. (Sebastian Miño-Bucheli / Special to the S.F. Examiner)
Major construction on Central Subway to end by March 31

SFMTA board approves renegotiated contract with new deadline, more contractor payments

Neighbors and environmental advocates have found the Ferris wheel in Golden Gate Park noisy and inappropriate for its natural setting. <ins>(</ins>
Golden Gate Park wheel wins extension, but for how long?

Supervisors move to limit contract under City Charter provision requiring two-thirds approval

San Francisco school teachers and staff will be able to get vaccinations without delay with the recent distribution of priority codes. 
Shutterstock
SF distributes vaccine priority codes to city schools

San Francisco has received its first vaccine priority access codes from the… Continue reading

Charles Joseph, who is represented by the San Francisco Public Defender’s office, is facing deportation to Fiji. <ins>(Courtesy photo)</ins>
Giving immigrants a second chance after incarceration

Legislation would allow some faced with deportation a chance to challenge their old convictions

The San Francisco Police Department released body camera footage of the alleged assault on Dacari Spiers. (Via SFPD Body Cam)
SF police officer to stand trial for assault over baton beating

A San Francisco police officer who prosecutors say unnecessarily beat a man… Continue reading

Most Read