Maybe that Rasmussen poll wasn’t a fluke, after all. PPP, polling for Daily Kos, now shows Sen. Russ Feingold, D-Wis., trailing by 11 points — a very, very bad sign for any candidate, but especially for an incumbent.
President Obama is posting some terrible approval-disapproval numbers (40-53) in the state. Wisconsin’s other Democratic senator, Herb Kohl, is also upside down (42-47), but exiting Gov. Jim Doyle, D, is in much worse shape (29-62).
For all of the grief people give Rasmussen for supposedly leaning Republican, I don’t think anyone is going to accuse Daily Kos of harboring such biases. I am curious, however, about the poll’s underlying assumption that McCain and Obama voters from 2008 will turn out in equal numbers (48 percent each) in 2010. That may well happen in a year like this one, but don’t forget that Obama carried the state with 56 percent.
By way of contrast, PPP’s poll of West Virginia shows only a 2-point increase in turnout by 2008 McCain voters.