How you can tell Boehner bill is not dead in the Senate

In the few minutes it takes to read this post, at least five Democrats will have again told reporters that the Boehner bill is “dead on arrival” in the Senate. But if the Boehner bill is such a non-threat to the White House, then why are House Democrats so scared to let any of their moderates vote for it?

Remember, five Democrats crosssed party lines to vote for the Cut, Cap, and Balance Act. That bill, requiring a constituional amendment with a super-majority to raise taxes, was truly DOA in the Senate. But this time around, no House Democrats will vote for the Boehner plan. Why?

It can't be because the Boehner bill is to the right of Cut, Cap, and Balance. The Boehner bill cuts less and doesn't require the passage of a BBA, just a vote.

The only reason House Democrats are holding so firm is because this time they know they are playing with real bullets. The exact version of whatever Boehner bill finally passes the House may not be adopted by as is by the Senate, but it will be the starting point for negotiaitions over the final bill. Unless the Boehner bill fails.

Then the focus will move to the Senate where Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., will be authoring the debt limit hike. A hike that will pass with mostly Democrat votes in the Senate and House. That bill is guranteed to be to the left of whatever the House tried to vote on last night.

Beltway Confidentialdebt limitMajority Leader Harry ReidUS

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