Early voting is over in Fla., and Dems still trail badly

I mentioned the other day that early voting numbers were not looking good for Florida Democrats. Well, early voting is now finished, and they don’t look much better, according to GMU Professor Mike McDonald’s tally. In fact, they look terrible. Here is the updated chart:

Party 2010 2008 2006
Dem 36.5% 45.6% 43.6%
Ind 14.3% 17.1% 15.4%
Rep 49.2% 37.3% 41.0%

Yes, you’re reading that right. Republicans are outperforming 2008 by 12 points.

Already, 2.2 million votes have been cast — perhaps not half of what will be cast overall, but not too far from it. And bear in mind, this is a state with 4.6 million registered Democrats and only 4 million registered Republicans (plus 2.2 million independents). Something big might be happening down there — it’s at least clear that the state GOP has been working on its early vote operation.

Not fatal, but not good news for Alex Sink, the Democratic nominee in the close governor’s race. Also not good news for Democratic Reps. Alan Grayson, Suzanne Kosmas, Ron Klein, or Allen Boyd. Nor for Joe Garcia, the Democratic nominee for the open 25th Congressional District in South Florida.

Beltway Confidentialelection 2010FLUS

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