More good news for Republicans and bad news for Democrats keeps flooding in. Consider this morning’s polls reported in realclearpolitics.com. Mason-Dixon, polling for the Las Vegas Review-Journal, has Harry Reid up over Sherron Angle by only 45%-44%–a statistical tie. The mainstream meme has been that Angle is unelectable. This poll refutes that. She’s certainly not a sure winner, but she’s not a sure loser either. And Harry Reid, who has been on statewide ballots in Nevada going back to 1970, when he was elected lieutenant governor, is stuck under 50%.
Next is Scott Rasmussen’s poll in the Florida governor race: Republican Rick Scott 45%, Democrat Alex Sink 42%, independent Lawton Chiles 4%. Scott hasn’t been endorsed by Attorney General Bill McCollum, whom he upset in the primary, and he carries a lot of baggage. But he’s certainly competitive in a state where 58% of the two-party vote in the primaries was cast for Republicans even though there are more registered Democrats than Republicans.
In my home state of Michigan, EPIC/MRA reports that Republican Rick Snyder leads Democrat Virg Bernero 51%-29% in the race for governor. Michigan had the nation’s highest unemployment for several years until it was eclipsed recently by Nevada, and liberal conventional wisdom is that economic distress will lead to a surge of blue collar voting for Democrats. Bernero is type cast for this: he’s a UAW stalwart, who as mayor of Lansing made bombastic appearances on Fox News supporting the GM/Chrysler/UAW bailout. But he’s hugely behind Snyder, a self-funding businessman who campaigned as a tough nerd. Seems like Michigan voters don’t think big government spending and collusion with unions is the way out of the economic doldrums.
Then there’s the governor race in Wisconsin, on which Stephen Hayes has a nice article in the Weekly Standard. Here Rasmussen has Republican Scott Walker leading Democrat Tom Barrett 47%-44%. Democrats have had a good run in Wisconsin in recent years, carrying the state with the help of big margins in the western and northern rural counties—part of the biggest swath of rural territory going for Barack Obama in 2008. As Hayes (a Wisconsin native) notes, Barrett, Mayor of Milwaukee and former Congressman, and a likeable guy, didn’t show up at Barack Obama’s public appearances in Wisconsin this month, and was conspicuously off camera at a fundraiser where Obama appeared for him in the evening.