A few interesting notes from exit polling

Some notes on the exit polling from Election 2010:

  • Democrats turned out in roughly the same numbers they did in the last midterm. Nationwide turnout for Election 2010 was 36 percent Republican, 36 percent Democrat, 28 percent independent. The major difference between this election and the 2006 midterm (partisan turnout: 38D-36R-26I) is not turnout, but rather the fact that Republicans won the independent vote by 18 points. In 2006, they lost it by the exact same margin.
  • At 34 percent, Republicans turned in one of their better recent performances with Hispanic voters. If all margins hold as currently reported, Republicans will represent eight of the 30 most heavily Hispanic congressional districts in America. Three of those are South Florida districts with significant Cuban populations.
  • First-time voters narrowly favored Democrats (49 to 46 percent), but made  up only 3 percent of the electorate.
  • The share of voters with a union member in their household was down, from 23 percent in 2006 to 17 percent this year. Union households also voted about 8 points more Republican.
  • Two years of Obama-Reid-Pelosi were enough to rehabilitate the philosophy of limited government. 56 percent of this year’s voters felt the government is doing too much, and only 38 percent believed it should do more. Each group voted roughly 80-20 on opposite sides.
  • You can blame the Tea Party for Republicans’ failures in the Senate, but also credit them for successes in the House. Pending late outcomes, so-called “Tea Party” candidates, as defined by the New York Times, made between 30 and 35 of the GOP’s net House gains. Many of these came in places where Republicans have never been competitive — at least not in my lifetime.

Beltway Confidentialelection 2010exit pollsUS

If you find our journalism valuable and relevant, please consider joining our Examiner membership program.
Find out more at www.sfexaminer.com/join/

Just Posted

Supes move to reject Breed’s picks for police oversight body, call for strong reformers

Ronen, Mar cite qualification concerns in voting against Police Commission nominees

SF public defender urges police to explicitly bar technique used in George Floyd death

Public Defender Manohar Raju is calling for policy changes after a widely… Continue reading

Protesters turn out Sunday in San Francisco for second day in a row

“To me, it’s everyone’s breaking point,” said Chris Jackson, who handed out water to fellow demonstrators.

Businesses slam proposed COVID-19 worker rehire law as too ‘burdensome’

Supervisor Mar’s legislation would require employers to take back staff at same pay

Curfew to remain in effect Monday night in SF; dozens arrested from Sunday protests

Police chief estimates as many as 6,000 took part in demonstrations

Most Read