IA-GOV: Former Gov. Terry Branstad should easily reclaim his old office, possibly by a 20-point margin. Democratic Gov. Chet Culver, D, is one of the most hated governors in America, which is saying a lot. The top-ticket blowout could be big enough to endanger one or two House Democrats currently believed safe. Iowa voters even appear poised to toss out a couple of Supreme Court justices after their 2009 decision on gay marriage.
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The DCCC’s latest independent expenditure reports contain a few interesting items. Data below, but first the takeaways:
HI-1: There’s only one GOP incumbent on the list of targets today — Charles Djou. Remember all that talk of taking out Rep. Charlie Dent, R-Pa.? No one is playing there right now.
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This note, from the Cook Political Report, could be the first real-life consequence of the lawsuit filed by left-wing blogger Markos Moulitsas against the polling firm Research 2000. It comes in the context of Cook’s decision to move Iowa’s Senate race from “solid Republican” to “likely Republican,” and then back again:
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