Nate Silver has an excellent post on his New York Times blog, explaining that Barack Obama’s approval rating have been running unusually high as compared to people’s assessments of how things are going in the country. He thinks this effect will be reduced somewhat by November 2012, but that it will still be a factor.
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David Broder has a very interesting piece in today’s Washington Post looking at the national ideological realignment of the early Obama era, and how it affects Democrats’ chances:
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