A poll released Thursday by Roanoke College gives former Sen. George Allen a double-digit lead over former Gov. Tim Kaine in a hypothetical U.S. Senate match-up.
Among registered voters, 45 percent of respondents preferred Allen and 32 percent favored Kaine, who just announced his candidacy this week, with 23 percent undecided.
The numbers on Allen and Kaine came from 360 registered voters between March 17 and March 30 – before Kaine officially announced his bid — and have a margin of error of +/- 5.2 percentage points.
Kaine led among political moderates (41%-34%), while Allen led (40%-35%) among independent voters.
“Not surprisingly, Allen led among Republicans (78%-4%) and conservatives (68%-10%) while Kaine led among Democrats (79%-12%) and liberals (83%-10%),” says a memo explaining the poll. “Allen’s lead could be attributed to the large number of conservatives in Virginia, a finding that closely matches Roanoke College Poll done in December.
Meanwhile, a poll relased in early March from the firm Public Policy Polling, which uses automated dialing, showed Kaine and Allen tied at 47 percent.