Today’s Gallup and Rasmussen daily tracking numbers are the first complete set of post-Osama numbers. When paired with other major polls they show President Obama received little boost from the Navy SEALs killing of bin Laden. Gallup (sample size 1,558), reports a 6 point post-Osama bounce (46% to 52%). Rasmussen (sample size 1,500), measured no bounce with Obama’s approval raring holding steady at 49%.
Quinnipiac released their first post-Osama poll today (Sample size 1,409), showing a 6 point bounce as well (46% to 52%). This is very close to CNN‘s 4 point, 48% to 52% bounce. All of these polls showed that further the question gets away from terror/Afghanistan, the weaker the Obama bounce is.
For example, the Quinnipiac poll shows Obama’s approval rating on Afghanistan jumped 18 points, on foreign policy up 8 points, on Libya up 4 points, and on the economy up 1 point. There simply is no “game changing” surge in faith in Obama’s competence on other issues.
And what bump there is probably will not last. According to Gallup, President Bush received a 7 point bump when Saddam Hussein was captured, but that gain evaporated in less than a month. Worse for Obama, according to Quinnipiac, his re-elect among independents actually went down:
Independent voters go from a negative 41 – 52 percent overall approval as of Sunday to a positive 47 – 41 percent today. But only 36 percent of independent voters say today he deserves reelection, compared to 41 percent Sunday.