From the conservative Club for Growth:
Club for Growth PAC today announced its endorsements of four Republicans vying for House seats in November: Mick Mulvaney (SC-05), Tim Griffin (AR-02), Stephen Fincher (TN-08), and Todd Young (IN-09).
If Republicans are to take back the House, these are four races they probably must win. All four districts voted for John McCain, and two (in Tennessee and Arkansas) are open seats. All four of the GOP candidates have already raised serious money, and the Club’s endorsement will help open new wallets for them.
A PPP poll suggested that House Budget Chairman John Spratt, D, was weak way back in January. In May, Mulvaney produced an internal poll suggesting a tie. Spratt, whose district has become more Republican with a growing suburban Charlotte, N.C. population, always outperforms Democrats on the top of the ticket. But he’ll get even less help this year than he usually does.
Griffin is favored to win the Little Rock seat that Rep. Vic Snyder, D, is vacating. Geraghty noted the other day that the NRCC is not planning to spend on his behalf, probably because they won’t have to.
Fincher, whose open-seat Tennessee race is supposed to be very tight against state Sen. Roy Herron, D, produced a poll yesterday showing himself up by 10 points (so take it with a grain of salt).
In Indiana, Young faces Rep. Barron “this is my town hall meeting” Hill, D-Ind. George W. Bush carried his district handily (59%), and John McCain carried it narrowly (50.2%). Hill, who voted for Obamacare earlier this year, was defeated in 2004 but came back and won in 2006. Luckily for Hill, Hoosiers like to split their tickets, but it looks like he’ll be swimming against the tide of a lopsided Senate race.